The muni market, still unperturbed

| No Comments | No TrackBacks
The past few years have been a continuous and near-total fiscal disaster for state and local governments. The one exception is borrowing costs, which have been generally low. Indeed, they're now lower than they were even before the recession hit. In 2007, when the stock market peaked at over 14,000, unemployment was below 5%, housing values were still sky-high, and revenues were pouring in, it was more expensive for state and local governments to borrow than it is now (Chart).
Bond Buyer Yields.png
There have been only two blips: a sell-off during the 2008 financial crisis, and late 2010, when yields spiked because of historically-high levels of supply and Meredith Whitney's infamous call on 60 Minutes that "hundreds of billions of dollars worth of defaults" were impending.

The Federal Reserve's attack on interest rates, as well as the looming threat of federal income tax increases, soon to intensify, have helped keep money cheap for state and local borrowers.  

Not that we don't live in uncertain times. Other players in the financial markets are definitely spooked by the fiscal cliff,  and some have predicted doom for state and local governments in particular. But the muni market still sleeps. 

No TrackBacks

TrackBack URL: http://www.publicsectorinc.com/cgi-bin/mt/mt-tb.cgi/1131

Join the conversation

Related Entries:

Center for State and Local Leadership

PublicSectorInc.org is a project of the Manhattan Institute's Center for State & Local Leadership.
Copyright © 2013 Manhattan Institute for Policy Research, Inc. All rights reserved.
52 Vanderbilt Avenue, New York, N.Y. 10017
phone (212) 599-7000 / fax (212) 599-3494